In the race for being the "Man of Worldcup 2007", D R Smith of West Indies took the ealrly lead by emerging as the "NCR Hero" of the cup opener.
D.R Smith, with a quick fire 32 of 15 balls and 3 wickets for 36 runs accumulated a total of 134 NCR points to emerge a clear leader over Bravo who clocked 112 points.
While WI set a target of 242 to Pakistan (0.8 per ball), Smith occupied the crease for 15 balls scoring at a pace of 2.1 runs per ball. Again while bowling he held his economy rate at 3.6 pulling down Pakistan by 12 decimal points over the 10 overs he bowled.
In comparision, Bravo also took 3 wickets for 42 runs over 9 overs. But he took two catches which gave him a 20 point haul and with 16 batting points ran a creditable second to Smith and became the second NCR Centurion scoring 112 points.
The best Pakistani player on display was Rao Iftikhar who collected 91 points for his 3 wickets at above par rate and 7 batting points.
The NCR system also threw up the worst player of the match whom we call the "Villain of the Match" and this dubious credit went to Rana Naved with a -6 NCR score. Chanderpaul was a close second with -4 because of his slow batting. Gayle who is one of the favourites for the tournament also clocked a negative rating with a -1 score.
It is still early days but NCR is providing the focus on the positive and negative impact of players in a match like no other rating can do.
Let's watch how Gayle and Chanderpaul make grounds in the forthcoming matches.
Naavi
Tuesday, March 13, 2007
Monday, March 12, 2007
Pakistan Vs West Indies.. Who will be the Man of the Match?
The Cricket World Cup will start off today opening a two month extravaganza followed by millions of persons all over the world. With the addition of six non test playing nations, the cricketing interest is likely to percolate even to countries like Canada, Bermuda, Netherlands, Ireland, Kenya and Scotland.
In all this sporting excitement there is a commercial aspect sorrounding which player will be the man of the match or the amn of the tournament. Such players would be able to commercially exploit their on field performances through advertisment and promotion contracts as well as prize monies.
In view of the commercial importance of such recognitions, it is important to have a good transparent system of rating the player's performances on the field.
Naavi's Cricket Rating is exactly meant for thsi purpose. During its grand success in its debut in 1999, the rating methodology has proved to be innovatively different from other ratings. And being a rating specially structured for closed tournaments such as the World Cups, Cricket enthusiasts will find this rating an ideal tool to evaluate the performances of their favourites.
An exclusive feature of this rating is that it evaluates the performance against a "Target". If a batsmen has scored 100 in 120 balls when the target rate required was run a ball, then he would lose points for the shortfall in the scoring rate and earn only 76 points for the jundered runs scored. If this was against a weak bowling team, the rating would fall further. For example, according to the weightage table used by the rating, West Indies bowling will be considered stronger than Paksitan bowling and hence any score of West Indies will be diluted by a factor of 0.9. If therefore an West Indies batsmen chasing a score of 300 in 50 overs scores a century in 120 balls, his net points earned would be around 72. At the same time the Paksitani batsmen who scores 60 in 40 balls in the same match while stting the target of 300 eould score 80 rating points.
Naavi's Ratign system will therefore hold the Pakistani batsmen who scored 60 in 40 balls as the man of the match over the West Indies batsman who scored 100 in 120 balls irrespective of who wins the game.
Some may disagree with this system which disregards whether the contribution resulted in victory or not. However, our logic is that the rating automatically takes into account the contribution made to victory since the actual runs scored is modified by the scoring rate factor. Where this rating differs from others is that when a good performance of a player is spoiled by other team members, the rating will identify such spoilers who some time get the wrong credit. If some top order batsman starts accumulating runs to save his career and lets the Dhoni's or Afridi's to carry too much responsibility at death, such unsporting team players will be highlighted by this system while all other systems hail the century maker automatically as the Hero of the match though he made it that much harder for the lower end batsmen to work for the victory.
The beuty of such fine analysis will be seen during this worldcup when people follow Naavi's Cricket Rating unflod
Last but not the least, Naavi's Cricket rating will be transparent for every netizen to follow the rating differences from match to match because the detailed rating calculation for each match will be made available on the website http://www.naavi.org/cwc_2007
Now, predict and watch who will be the man of the match in today's Pakistan-West Indies match. Will it be Lara with a blitz? or Yousuf with a slower ton?
Naavi
March 13, 2007
In all this sporting excitement there is a commercial aspect sorrounding which player will be the man of the match or the amn of the tournament. Such players would be able to commercially exploit their on field performances through advertisment and promotion contracts as well as prize monies.
In view of the commercial importance of such recognitions, it is important to have a good transparent system of rating the player's performances on the field.
Naavi's Cricket Rating is exactly meant for thsi purpose. During its grand success in its debut in 1999, the rating methodology has proved to be innovatively different from other ratings. And being a rating specially structured for closed tournaments such as the World Cups, Cricket enthusiasts will find this rating an ideal tool to evaluate the performances of their favourites.
An exclusive feature of this rating is that it evaluates the performance against a "Target". If a batsmen has scored 100 in 120 balls when the target rate required was run a ball, then he would lose points for the shortfall in the scoring rate and earn only 76 points for the jundered runs scored. If this was against a weak bowling team, the rating would fall further. For example, according to the weightage table used by the rating, West Indies bowling will be considered stronger than Paksitan bowling and hence any score of West Indies will be diluted by a factor of 0.9. If therefore an West Indies batsmen chasing a score of 300 in 50 overs scores a century in 120 balls, his net points earned would be around 72. At the same time the Paksitani batsmen who scores 60 in 40 balls in the same match while stting the target of 300 eould score 80 rating points.
Naavi's Ratign system will therefore hold the Pakistani batsmen who scored 60 in 40 balls as the man of the match over the West Indies batsman who scored 100 in 120 balls irrespective of who wins the game.
Some may disagree with this system which disregards whether the contribution resulted in victory or not. However, our logic is that the rating automatically takes into account the contribution made to victory since the actual runs scored is modified by the scoring rate factor. Where this rating differs from others is that when a good performance of a player is spoiled by other team members, the rating will identify such spoilers who some time get the wrong credit. If some top order batsman starts accumulating runs to save his career and lets the Dhoni's or Afridi's to carry too much responsibility at death, such unsporting team players will be highlighted by this system while all other systems hail the century maker automatically as the Hero of the match though he made it that much harder for the lower end batsmen to work for the victory.
The beuty of such fine analysis will be seen during this worldcup when people follow Naavi's Cricket Rating unflod
Last but not the least, Naavi's Cricket rating will be transparent for every netizen to follow the rating differences from match to match because the detailed rating calculation for each match will be made available on the website http://www.naavi.org/cwc_2007
Now, predict and watch who will be the man of the match in today's Pakistan-West Indies match. Will it be Lara with a blitz? or Yousuf with a slower ton?
Naavi
March 13, 2007
Naavi Rating Scheme for Cricketers-2007 Version
This rating was first developed in 1999 to follow the performance of cricketers in the Limited over match particularly in a closed tournament like the World Cup.
In this rating system, an attempt has been made here to give suitable weightages to different aspects of the game to provide a cross platform comparison.
The critical part of the difference with other ratings is that Naavi Rating is a rating that evaluates the performance in relation to the most relevant parameters. The new system also takes into account the different playing condition when the team performs second, ie chasing or defending a score.
The rating is based on actual performance moderated by
a) Team's Performance if batting or bowling first or the target performance if bowling or batting second
b) The opposition teams strength in batting or bowling
All players will start with a zero base and accumulate points based on their performances. There will be no carryover of reputation from earlier performances. Ponting and Robin Utthappa will therefore have equal chances of being the "Man of World Cup 2007".
The rating in 2007 will be based on new weightages given to different teams. Naavi_rating 2007 will be computed in the following steps.
For details visit http://www.naavi.org/cwc_2007
In this rating system, an attempt has been made here to give suitable weightages to different aspects of the game to provide a cross platform comparison.
The critical part of the difference with other ratings is that Naavi Rating is a rating that evaluates the performance in relation to the most relevant parameters. The new system also takes into account the different playing condition when the team performs second, ie chasing or defending a score.
The rating is based on actual performance moderated by
a) Team's Performance if batting or bowling first or the target performance if bowling or batting second
b) The opposition teams strength in batting or bowling
All players will start with a zero base and accumulate points based on their performances. There will be no carryover of reputation from earlier performances. Ponting and Robin Utthappa will therefore have equal chances of being the "Man of World Cup 2007".
The rating in 2007 will be based on new weightages given to different teams. Naavi_rating 2007 will be computed in the following steps.
For details visit http://www.naavi.org/cwc_2007
Will Sehwag be the Villain for India?
Rahul Dravid has placed his faith on Sehwag. Most Indians honestly wish that he will deliver in every match that he plays so that India can win always. Analysts say that he is a "match Winner" and must be persisted with.
All this is fine. But if he continues to falter as he is doing now, carrying Sehwag in the team could itself be the biggest mistake that Dravid may make in losing the world cup chances.
let us remember that World cup is such a tournament where winning three of 5 matches is not going to get you the world cup. The team that wins will perhaps win 12 matches in a trot or atleast the last three or four matches in a trot. If any team loses more than two games out of the seven in the super eight, they have every chance of being eliminated. So even if Sehwag could win one or two games on his own, if he creates a crisis in every match by getting out early, then he would do damage India's chances.
Further if Sehwag is not going to be dropped for any reason, it also means that Uthappa and Dinesh Karthik will not be picked for any reason. This would be having a detrimental effect on the psychology of the youngsters who stand by their performance.
For India, a fifty by Uthappa is as good as a 50 by Sehwag. If Uthappa has more probability of scoring a fifty than Sehwag, then he must be preferred over Sehwag. This is logic that may win the world cup for India.
If at all there is any point in accommodating Sehwag, it is for the position of an allrounder in the number 7 batting position in competition with Irfan Pathan. Depending on the pitch condition if we want a spinner all-rounder, we can chose Sehwag and if we want a Fast bowler alrounder, we can pick Irfan. Unfortunately in the two warm up games, Sehwag was not tried in the middle order nor given a bowling opportunity and hence we could not try him in this role. Now with two failures behind him, he has lost more of his confidence and the probability of his failure has increased.
It is ridiculous to hear some experts say.. "If the wicket is good for batting send Sehwag to open and if it is difficult, send Dravid to Open". What sort of a logic is this? Are we playing only to make Sehwag succeed?. If he can fail in the warm up match against Netherlands and West Indies on not so difficult wickets, how can we trust him to succeed against more formidable opponents?..under worst conditions?
Let us therefore keep our hearts aside and bring the brain to the fore of discussions. Let us drop Sehwag until his replacements fail and there appears to be a room for Sehwag.... From there on, it is for Sehwag to pick up and cement his place.
If Dravid can take this tough decision when we open our first encounter on 17th March, he can be trusted as a real "Australian like captain". Otherwise he will remain to be the "Typical Indian Captain" who has a set favorite and will go all the way down the drain with him. If this happens, Dravid may well risk his captaincy.
While Sehwag has all the potential to be the hero, (and I would very much like it happen), he has all the more probability of becoming the villain of this world cup from India's point of view. The difference will be the way Dravid handles him.
"Drop Sehwag until Uthappa and Karthik fail" could be the winning strategy. While "Persist with Sehwag until he is drops out himself" would be the losing strategy.
Let's us wait and see what happens in the next few weeks.
Watch the progress of Sehwag in terms of Naavi Cricket Rating and see how he fares in comparison with other players.
Naavi
March 10, 2007
All this is fine. But if he continues to falter as he is doing now, carrying Sehwag in the team could itself be the biggest mistake that Dravid may make in losing the world cup chances.
let us remember that World cup is such a tournament where winning three of 5 matches is not going to get you the world cup. The team that wins will perhaps win 12 matches in a trot or atleast the last three or four matches in a trot. If any team loses more than two games out of the seven in the super eight, they have every chance of being eliminated. So even if Sehwag could win one or two games on his own, if he creates a crisis in every match by getting out early, then he would do damage India's chances.
Further if Sehwag is not going to be dropped for any reason, it also means that Uthappa and Dinesh Karthik will not be picked for any reason. This would be having a detrimental effect on the psychology of the youngsters who stand by their performance.
For India, a fifty by Uthappa is as good as a 50 by Sehwag. If Uthappa has more probability of scoring a fifty than Sehwag, then he must be preferred over Sehwag. This is logic that may win the world cup for India.
If at all there is any point in accommodating Sehwag, it is for the position of an allrounder in the number 7 batting position in competition with Irfan Pathan. Depending on the pitch condition if we want a spinner all-rounder, we can chose Sehwag and if we want a Fast bowler alrounder, we can pick Irfan. Unfortunately in the two warm up games, Sehwag was not tried in the middle order nor given a bowling opportunity and hence we could not try him in this role. Now with two failures behind him, he has lost more of his confidence and the probability of his failure has increased.
It is ridiculous to hear some experts say.. "If the wicket is good for batting send Sehwag to open and if it is difficult, send Dravid to Open". What sort of a logic is this? Are we playing only to make Sehwag succeed?. If he can fail in the warm up match against Netherlands and West Indies on not so difficult wickets, how can we trust him to succeed against more formidable opponents?..under worst conditions?
Let us therefore keep our hearts aside and bring the brain to the fore of discussions. Let us drop Sehwag until his replacements fail and there appears to be a room for Sehwag.... From there on, it is for Sehwag to pick up and cement his place.
If Dravid can take this tough decision when we open our first encounter on 17th March, he can be trusted as a real "Australian like captain". Otherwise he will remain to be the "Typical Indian Captain" who has a set favorite and will go all the way down the drain with him. If this happens, Dravid may well risk his captaincy.
While Sehwag has all the potential to be the hero, (and I would very much like it happen), he has all the more probability of becoming the villain of this world cup from India's point of view. The difference will be the way Dravid handles him.
"Drop Sehwag until Uthappa and Karthik fail" could be the winning strategy. While "Persist with Sehwag until he is drops out himself" would be the losing strategy.
Let's us wait and see what happens in the next few weeks.
Watch the progress of Sehwag in terms of Naavi Cricket Rating and see how he fares in comparison with other players.
Naavi
March 10, 2007
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